TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101513
Played Sep 9Finished
Lukas Zustina
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214911911––––
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zustina above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 66 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zustina 4–2 Jaroslav Sindler Jaroslav Sindler has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Zustina
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zustina 1348 vs Sindler 1373
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zustina 60% vs Sindler 40%
Zustina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zustina 50% vs Sindler 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zustina +1 · Sindler -3
Sindler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zustina) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZustina 1.83 / Sindler 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zustina)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13101513
Zustina1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Sindler1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZustina4wins
AwaySindler2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderZustina leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZustina80%4 of 5
AwaySindlern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zustina5Sindler1n = 6Zustina took 5 of 6
S2Zustina4Sindler2n = 6Zustina took 4 of 6
S3Zustina4Sindler2n = 6Zustina took 4 of 6
S4Zustina1Sindler3n = 4Sindler took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricZustinaSindlerZ − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match39.838.5+1.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZustinaSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 94 vs 387 / 75847.9%51.1%45 / 94 vs 387 / 758Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.240.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZustinaZustina 1.83/Sindler 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zustina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 3 · 10:45L. Zustina—112117122J. Sindler—911811143
WJul 30 · 14:10L. Zustina—111178113J. Sindler—89111142
LJul 30 · 11:40L. Zustina—381191J. Sindler—11118113
WMar 4 · 14:10L. Zustina—13118123J. Sindler—11411101
WMar 4 · 12:40L. Zustina—1111183J. Sindler—97160
WDec 4 · 09:15L. Zustina—1111113J. Sindler—8990
L. Zustina10
WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 14:15L. Zustina1.7312118113L. Jr2.001091131WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122LSep 3 · 10:15R. Jancak1.7311511113L. Zustina2.00611841WAug 4 · 16:43P. Chvojka1.7363100L. Zustina2.001111123LAug 4 · 16:15L. Zustina1.6767110P. Chvojka2.101111133
J. Sindler10
LSep 9 · 08:50J. Sindler1.83311381F. Mandrysz1.8311511113LSep 9 · 07:45J. Sindler1.6791111742A. Strelec2.10117411113LSep 9 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7391111752J. Matus2.00119511113WSep 9 · 05:45J. Sindler1.731111113F. Mandrysz2.002960WSep 8 · 09:29P. Sturma3.251011501J. Sindler1.3312711113LSep 8 · 07:45P. Sturma1.8381111113J. Sindler1.83118481WSep 8 · 07:15R. Jancak2.2061350J. Sindler1.611115113WSep 8 · 06:15J. Sindler1.731111113A. Strelec2.009580LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122
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