TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121900
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Ogrocki
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181191113911118
Richard Jancak
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Jancak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Ogrocki above · Richard Jancak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Richard Jancak at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Ogrocki 2–0 Richard Jancak Richard Jancak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:58What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ogrocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ogrocki 1348 vs Jancak 1298
Ogrocki
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ogrocki 60% vs Jancak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ogrocki 50% vs Jancak 70%
Jancak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ogrocki +1 · Jancak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ogrocki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jancak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOgrocki 1.50 / Jancak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Ogrocki)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13121900
Ogrocki1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it69% 34 of 49
Jancak2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 35 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back32% 15 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOgrocki2wins
AwayJancak0wins
Ogrocki leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOgrockiJancakO − JBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.037.5+7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOgrockiJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 463 vs 143 / 28746.7%49.8%216 / 463 vs 143 / 287Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OgrockiOgrocki 1.50/Jancak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Ogrocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ogrocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 19 · 19:45T. Ogrocki5115169113R. Jancak4413141161
WMay 24 · 20:10T. Ogrocki3911611113R. Jancak31411881
T. Ogrocki10
LSep 13 · 06:45T. Ogrocki2.5011451192D. Stefek1.50311119113WSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 20:10T. Ogrocki1.6712117792I. Jemelka2.101081111113WSep 11 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.10813891T. Ogrocki1.67111111113LSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor2.1071111113T. Ogrocki1.67116971WSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113LSep 10 · 20:10J. Vanous2.00831111113T. Ogrocki1.7311114942LSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113LSep 10 · 17:40V. Reska1.441113113T. Ogrocki2.6361180WSep 9 · 17:15T. Ogrocki1.6712128113P. Jokiel2.1010101151
R. Jancak10
WSep 11 · 08:48R. Jancak1.61712511113P. Sturma2.20111011972LSep 11 · 08:15J. Sindler1.5311611113R. Jancak2.38911781WSep 11 · 07:15R. Jancak1.6791111113P. Sturma2.10116861LSep 11 · 05:45D. Stefek1.61611811113R. Jancak2.2011211722WSep 8 · 13:14R. Jancak1.36911137113R. Sedivy3.00118111162WSep 8 · 12:15R. Jancak1.4011911113R. Sedivy2.75811941WSep 8 · 10:45L. Snr1.91651171R. Jancak1.8011119113WSep 8 · 10:15P. Sturma1.911111481R. Jancak1.8051311113LSep 8 · 09:00R. Jancak1.83712761A. Strelec1.83111011113WSep 8 · 08:15A. Strelec1.731212111172R. Jancak2.00141458113
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