TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113968
Played Sep 11Finished
Richard Jancak
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111210511119117
Patrik Sturma
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Patrik Sturma below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7
94 points played in total.
H2H Richard Jancak 15–11 Patrik Sturma Patrik Sturma has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jancak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJancak 1.61 / Sturma 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jancak)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13113968
Jancak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 71 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it66% 42 of 64
Sturma2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 135 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back40% 55 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJancak6wins
AwaySturma4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJancak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJancak50%2 of 4
AwaySturma33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jancak4Sturma6n = 10Sturma took 6 of 10
S2Jancak6Sturma4n = 10Jancak took 6 of 10
S3Jancak5Sturma5n = 10split evenly
S4Jancak7Sturma2n = 9Jancak took 7 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJancakSturmaJ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.3+2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJancakSturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 286 vs 408 / 83949.7%48.6%142 / 286 vs 408 / 839Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JancakJancak 1.61/Sturma 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Jancak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jancak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 07:15R. Jancak—91111113P. Sturma—116861
WSep 8 · 10:15R. Jancak—51311113P. Sturma—1111481
LSep 8 · 05:45R. Jancak—11741192P. Sturma—711116113
WAug 30 · 15:10R. Jancak—11511113P. Sturma—511391
WAug 29 · 18:10R. Jancak—11119153P. Sturma—6911131
WAug 22 · 10:10R. Jancak—91113113P. Sturma—1171161
LAug 22 · 06:10R. Jancak—118861P. Sturma—61111113
LJul 31 · 13:14R. Jancak—38110P. Sturma—1111133
LJul 31 · 11:40R. Jancak—811961P. Sturma—11611113
WJul 29 · 20:15R. Jancak—81111113P. Sturma—117631
R. Jancak10
LSep 11 · 08:15J. Sindler1.5311611113R. Jancak2.38911781WSep 11 · 07:15R. Jancak1.6791111113P. Sturma2.10116861LSep 11 · 05:45D. Stefek1.61611811113R. Jancak2.2011211722WSep 8 · 13:14R. Jancak1.36911137113R. Sedivy3.00118111162WSep 8 · 12:15R. Jancak1.4011911113R. Sedivy2.75811941WSep 8 · 10:45L. Snr1.91651171R. Jancak1.8011119113WSep 8 · 10:15P. Sturma1.911111481R. Jancak1.8051311113LSep 8 · 09:00R. Jancak1.83712761A. Strelec1.83111011113WSep 8 · 08:15A. Strelec1.731212111172R. Jancak2.00141458113LSep 8 · 07:15R. Jancak2.2061350J. Sindler1.611115113
P. Sturma10
WSep 11 · 07:45D. Stefek1.671310155102P. Sturma2.1011121311123LSep 11 · 07:15R. Jancak1.6791111113P. Sturma2.10116861LSep 8 · 12:43P. Sturma1.83811991L. Snr1.8311411113WSep 8 · 11:45L. Snr1.73118761P. Sturma2.0031111113LSep 8 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.00211116113P. Sturma1.7311961182LSep 8 · 10:15P. Sturma1.911111481R. Jancak1.8051311113LSep 8 · 09:29P. Sturma3.251011501J. Sindler1.3312711113WSep 8 · 07:45P. Sturma1.8381111113J. Sindler1.83118481LSep 8 · 06:45P. Sturma2.386115101A. Strelec1.5311811123WSep 8 · 05:45P. Sturma2.10711116113R. Jancak1.6711741192
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