TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095281
Played Sep 8Finished
Richard Jancak
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911119114––
Radek Sedivy
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:30 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeRichard Jancak to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Radek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 74 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Richard Jancak at 66.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Richard Jancak 1–0 Radek Sedivy Radek Sedivy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jancak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jancak 1229 vs Sedivy 1171
Jancak
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jancak 60% vs Sedivy 40%
Jancak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jancak 40% vs Sedivy 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jancak +2 · Sedivy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jancak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jancak form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJancak 1.40 / Sedivy 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Jancak)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13095281
Jancak1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 67 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it66% 40 of 61
Sedivy2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJancak1wins
AwaySedivy0wins
Jancak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJancakSedivyJ − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJancakSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 281 vs 3 / 1049.5%30%139 / 281 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.434.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JancakJancak 1.40/Sedivy 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Jancak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jancak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 11:15R. Jancak—1111113R. Sedivy—7650
R. Jancak10
WSep 8 · 10:45L. Snr1.91651171R. Jancak1.8011119113WSep 8 · 10:15P. Sturma1.911111481R. Jancak1.8051311113LSep 8 · 09:00R. Jancak1.83712761A. Strelec1.83111011113WSep 8 · 08:15A. Strelec1.731212111172R. Jancak2.00141458113LSep 8 · 07:15R. Jancak2.2061350J. Sindler1.611115113LSep 8 · 05:45P. Sturma2.10711116113R. Jancak1.6711741192LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113
R. Sedivy10
WSep 8 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.00211116113P. Sturma1.7311961182WSep 8 · 09:45L. Snr1.6751191172R. Sedivy2.10119118113LSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172LSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.007650R. Jancak1.731111113LSep 3 · 09:45J. Sindler1.4471112113R. Sedivy2.631141091LAug 26 · 12:40R. Sedivy1.73711821P. Sturma2.0011811113WAug 26 · 12:10P. Sturma1.73128981R. Sedivy2.00101111113LAug 26 · 11:09R. Sedivy2.75711761J. Sindler1.4011611113LAug 26 · 09:40O. Vaclahovsky2.201211133R. Sedivy1.61106110
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