TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112460
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Stempak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811511––––
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Stempak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Stempak above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Stempak at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Stempak 3–4 Jaroslav Sindler Tomas Stempak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:45What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stempak 1333 vs Sindler 1382
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stempak 80% vs Sindler 60%
Stempak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stempak 50% vs Sindler 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stempak -1 · Sindler +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stempak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStempak 1.83 / Sindler 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sindler)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13112460
Stempak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sindler1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeStempak3wins
AwaySindler4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSindler leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStempak60%3 of 5
AwaySindlern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stempak5Sindler2n = 7Stempak took 5 of 7
S2Stempak3Sindler4n = 7Sindler took 4 of 7
S3Stempak2Sindler5n = 7Sindler took 5 of 7
S4Stempak1Sindler5n = 6Sindler took 5 of 6
S5Stempak2Sindler1n = 3Stempak took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricStempakSindlerStempak − SindlerBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.342.6−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStempakSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 71 vs 392 / 76743.7%51.1%31 / 71 vs 392 / 767Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.240.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerStempak 1.83/Sindler 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 8 · 07:15T. Stempak—113871J. Sindler—91111113
WApr 27 · 17:10T. Stempak—151176113J. Sindler—135111192
WApr 27 · 16:10T. Stempak—11411113J. Sindler—711781
LApr 7 · 08:15T. Stempak—1471181J. Sindler—16118113
LFeb 3 · 10:40T. Stempak—9770J. Sindler—1111113
LJan 19 · 10:15T. Stempak—111176102J. Sindler—491111123
WJan 19 · 06:40T. Stempak—111271133J. Sindler—5101111112
T. Stempak10
LSep 11 · 12:50P. Sturma2.0012119113T. Stempak1.731081191LSep 11 · 11:45T. Stempak1.80118911102P. Sturma1.91811117123LSep 11 · 09:45T. Stempak1.8091161182Z. Chovancik1.91118119113WAug 19 · 09:20T. Stempak2.0011111011113P. Sturma1.7313812782WAug 19 · 08:10L. Snr1.6711911892T. Stempak2.10711911113WAug 19 · 07:10T. Stempak2.631111413133P. Sturma1.441381111112WAug 19 · 05:40D. Stefek1.80611111182T. Stempak1.91117138113WJul 21 · 12:45J. Lysek1.6181281122T. Stempak2.201110119113LJul 21 · 12:15R. Zajac1.801211113T. Stempak1.9110610LJul 21 · 11:15T. Stempak1.8310590P. Sturma1.831211113
J. Sindler10
WSep 11 · 13:20Z. Chovancik1.771970J. Sindler1.871111113LSep 11 · 12:15J. Sindler1.8011660Z. Chovancik1.911311113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Sturma1.91118861J. Sindler1.8071111113LSep 11 · 09:20D. Stefek1.831111113J. Sindler1.839580WSep 11 · 08:15J. Sindler1.5311611113R. Jancak2.38911781LSep 11 · 06:45D. Stefek1.83124114113J. Sindler1.83101181182WSep 11 · 06:15P. Sturma1.9141111662J. Sindler1.80118911113LSep 9 · 13:15J. Sindler1.6541191162L. Jr2.03114118113WSep 9 · 12:15J. Sindler1.6711118113L. Jr2.10761151LSep 9 · 10:45J. Sevecek1.73711311113J. Sindler2.0011911692
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