TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12272411
Played Jul 21Finished
Radek Zajac
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–4Last 6Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116111––––
Tomas Stempak
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Zajac to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zajac above · Tomas Stempak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 51 set 3, 11-1 — our read held Radek Zajac at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zajac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Zajac 1290 vs Stempak 1302
Stempak
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajac 40% vs Stempak 0%
Zajac
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajac 33% vs Stempak 0%
Zajac
Correct
33pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajac +1 · Stempak -5
Stempak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zajac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stempak form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajac 1.80 / Stempak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zajac)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12272411
Zajac1.80
33%won 2 of 6 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 2 of 6
Stempak1.91
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajacStempakBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 6 vs 26 / 6433.3%40.6%2 / 6 vs 26 / 64Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajacZajac 1.80/Stempak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zajac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zajac won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842
T. Stempak10
WAug 19 · 09:20T. Stempak2.0011111011113P. Sturma1.7313812782WAug 19 · 08:10L. Snr1.6711911892T. Stempak2.10711911113WAug 19 · 07:10T. Stempak2.631111413133P. Sturma1.441381111112WAug 19 · 05:40D. Stefek1.80611111182T. Stempak1.91117138113WJul 21 · 12:45J. Lysek1.6181281122T. Stempak2.201110119113LJul 21 · 11:15T. Stempak1.8310590P. Sturma1.831211113LJul 21 · 09:45J. Lysek2.101112113T. Stempak1.6751090LJul 8 · 08:50A. Strelec1.3551111113T. Stempak3.00117971LJul 8 · 08:15J. Sevecek1.82121111113T. Stempak1.90146981LJul 8 · 07:15T. Stempak1.99113871J. Sindler1.6891111113
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