TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112453
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113611611––––
Zdenek Chovancik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Zdenek Chovancik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 58 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 6–6 Zdenek Chovancik Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1405 vs Chovancik 1327
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 60% vs Chovancik 80%
Chovancik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 60% vs Chovancik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +2 · Chovancik +4
Chovancik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chovancik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.80 / Chovancik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sindler)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13112453
Sindler1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 135 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it68% 88 of 129
Chovancik1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 14 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler5wins
AwayChovancik5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler75%3 of 4
AwayChovancik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler4Chovancik6n = 10Chovancik took 6 of 10
S2Sindler6Chovancik4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S3Sindler4Chovancik6n = 10Chovancik took 6 of 10
S4Sindler5Chovancik4n = 9Sindler took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerChovancikS − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.438.1+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerChovancikBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 768 vs 32 / 7951.2%40.5%393 / 768 vs 32 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.80/Chovancik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chovancik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 3 · 12:55J. Sindler—11113113Z. Chovancik—961151
WJul 3 · 11:15J. Sindler—11411113Z. Chovancik—411771
LJun 15 · 09:15J. Sindler—10121191Z. Chovancik—121013113
WJun 15 · 05:45J. Sindler—811118113Z. Chovancik—11871142
LJun 12 · 05:45J. Sindler—11791262Z. Chovancik—8111110113
WJun 5 · 07:10J. Sindler—11119123Z. Chovancik—8611101
LMay 28 · 08:40J. Sindler—891171Z. Chovancik—11117113
LMay 28 · 05:40J. Sindler—9980Z. Chovancik—1111113
WJan 15 · 08:15J. Sindler—91111113Z. Chovancik—117961
LJan 9 · 10:20J. Sindler—711651Z. Chovancik—11911113
J. Sindler10
WSep 11 · 13:20Z. Chovancik1.771970J. Sindler1.871111113WSep 11 · 10:45T. Stempak1.839850J. Sindler1.831111113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Sturma1.91118861J. Sindler1.8071111113LSep 11 · 09:20D. Stefek1.831111113J. Sindler1.839580WSep 11 · 08:15J. Sindler1.5311611113R. Jancak2.38911781LSep 11 · 06:45D. Stefek1.83124114113J. Sindler1.83101181182WSep 11 · 06:15P. Sturma1.9141111662J. Sindler1.80118911113LSep 9 · 13:15J. Sindler1.6541191162L. Jr2.03114118113WSep 9 · 12:15J. Sindler1.6711118113L. Jr2.10761151LSep 9 · 10:45J. Sevecek1.73711311113J. Sindler2.0011911692
Z. Chovancik10
LSep 11 · 13:20Z. Chovancik1.771970J. Sindler1.871111113WSep 11 · 11:15Z. Chovancik1.837111110113P. Sturma1.8311961272WSep 11 · 09:45T. Stempak1.8091161182Z. Chovancik1.91118119113WSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 10:10F. Mandrysz1.6791113101Z. Chovancik2.1011515123LAug 17 · 09:15L. Snr1.531111113Z. Chovancik2.389480WAug 17 · 08:15Z. Chovancik1.8081111113K. Drozd1.91114621LAug 17 · 06:45L. Snr1.831111113Z. Chovancik1.835690
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