TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126506
Played Sep 13Finished
Jiri Matus
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210113––––
Miroslav Dolezal
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJiri Matus above · Miroslav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 55 set 3, 11-3
55 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Matus 5–2 Miroslav Dolezal Miroslav Dolezal has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Dolezal beat Matus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Matus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matus form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatus 1.73 / Dolezal 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Matus)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13126506
Matus1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 87 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it76% 59 of 78
Dolezal2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 14 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back35% 6 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMatus5wins
AwayDolezal2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMatus leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatus100%5 of 5
AwayDolezaln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matus5Dolezal2n = 7Matus took 5 of 7
S2Matus4Dolezal3n = 7Matus took 4 of 7
S3Matus4Dolezal3n = 7Matus took 4 of 7
S4Matus1Dolezal3n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMatusDolezalM − DBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.935.6+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatusDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 417 vs 20 / 4351.6%46.5%215 / 417 vs 20 / 43Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.034.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatusMatus 1.73/Dolezal 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Matus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Matus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 13 · 17:45J. Matus29921171M. Dolezal4211119113
WAug 4 · 21:13J. Matus50111189113M. Dolezal4687111192
WAug 4 · 18:10J. Matus4411166113M. Dolezal346141131
WAug 3 · 20:15J. Matus331111113M. Dolezal188370
LJul 28 · 17:40J. Matus31129100M. Dolezal371411123
WJul 27 · 17:08J. Matus521110137113M. Dolezal48812111162
WJul 27 · 13:40J. Matus331111113M. Dolezal249870
J. Matus10
LSep 13 · 20:15J. Oleksik2.10851211113J. Matus1.67111110762WSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192LSep 13 · 17:45M. Dolezal2.2011119113J. Matus1.61921171LSep 10 · 08:40J. Matus1.7361211862T. Slivka2.001110811113WSep 10 · 07:40J. Matus1.83121111113T. Slivka1.83148461LSep 10 · 06:40J. Matus1.61910120F. Mandrysz2.201112143LSep 10 · 05:40J. Matus1.447870R. Zajac2.631111113WSep 9 · 09:20A. Strelec1.77371171J. Matus1.8711116113WSep 9 · 08:15J. Matus1.80111198113F. Mandrysz1.9175111142WSep 9 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7391111752J. Matus2.00119511113
M. Dolezal10
LSep 13 · 19:45M. Dolezal1.53105100L. Jr2.381211123LSep 13 · 18:45M. Dolezal1.835620J. Oleksik1.831111113WSep 13 · 17:45M. Dolezal2.2011119113J. Matus1.61921171WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113
Upcoming Matches
J. Matus
M. Dolezal
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.