TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125097
Played Sep 13Finished
Miroslav Dolezal
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10125111012––––
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Dolezal to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Dolezal above · Lukas Krupnik Jr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Miroslav Dolezal at 60.8%
60 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Dolezal 3–3 Lukas Krupnik Jr Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1277 vs Jr 1347
Jr
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 70% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -1 · Jr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.53 / Jr 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13125097
Dolezal1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Jr2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 79 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back39% 26 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDolezal3wins
AwayJr3wins
Level at 3–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal75%3 of 4
AwayJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal4Jr2n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
S2Dolezal3Jr3n = 6split evenly
S3Dolezal4Jr2n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricDolezalJrD − JBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match31.830.8+1.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalJrBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 42 vs 235 / 44447.6%52.9%20 / 42 vs 235 / 444Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.540.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.53/Jr 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 6 · 18:45M. Dolezal331111113L. Jr259790
WAug 23 · 20:49M. Dolezal331111113L. Jr198830
LAug 9 · 17:40M. Dolezal32117951L. Jr3851111113
WAug 4 · 18:40M. Dolezal341211113L. Jr2310850
LAug 3 · 19:15M. Dolezal2281220L. Jr361114113
LJul 28 · 19:10M. Dolezal37881381L. Jr44111111113
M. Dolezal10
LSep 13 · 18:45M. Dolezal1.835620J. Oleksik1.831111113WSep 13 · 17:45M. Dolezal2.2011119113J. Matus1.61921171WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113WAug 30 · 18:10R. Jancak1.67411451M. Dolezal2.1011611113
L. Jr10
LSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192LSep 13 · 18:15L. Jr1.83111111592J. Oleksik1.83813911113LSep 12 · 21:19L. Jr1.5771111772P. Sturma2.25112411113WSep 12 · 20:15J. Jnr1.91101171192L. Jr1.80127116113WSep 12 · 19:15L. Jr1.6191111113P. Sturma2.20117861WSep 12 · 17:45I. Jemelka1.44111125102L. Jr2.63891111123WSep 9 · 13:15J. Sindler1.6541191162L. Jr2.03114118113LSep 9 · 12:15J. Sindler1.6711118113L. Jr2.10761151WSep 9 · 11:15L. Jr2.0012911113L. Zustina1.731011991LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Dolezal
Nothing scheduled
L. Jr
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