Peter Chvojka vs Patrik Sturma 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13119174

Played Sep 12Finished

Peter Chvojka

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811116911911––

Patrik Sturma

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Peter Chvojka to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Patrik Sturma below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Peter Chvojka at 54.0%

76 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:53

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Chvojka

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Chvojka 1255 vs Sturma 1319

Sturma

Correct

both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Chvojka 40% vs Sturma 60%

Sturma

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Chvojka 30% vs Sturma 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Chvojka -1 · Sturma +3

Sturma

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chvojka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Chvojka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChvojka 1.73 / Sturma 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Chvojka)+0.3pp

TT Cup · #13119174

Chvojka1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite48% won 37 of 77

Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41

Sturma2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog49% won 136 of 277

Down 0–1, comes back40% 56 of 139

Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricChvojkaSturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 298 vs 411 / 84545.3%48.6%135 / 298 vs 411 / 845Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Chvojka

Chvojka 1.73/Sturma 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Chvojka · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Sturma won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Chvojka10