TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126297
Played Sep 14Finished
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
71111914121210––
Peter Chvojka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timePeter Chvojka to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Peter Chvojka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 86 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Peter Chvojka at 55.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 2–3 Peter Chvojka Lukas Krupnik Jr has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chvojka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1375 vs Chvojka 1264
Jr
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Chvojka 60%
Chvojka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Chvojka 40%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +2 · Chvojka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chvojka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.00 / Chvojka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chvojka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13126297
Jr2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 80 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back39% 26 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Chvojka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 37 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it76% 32 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayChvojka3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderChvojka leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayChvojka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Chvojka3n = 5Chvojka took 3 of 5
S2Jr2Chvojka3n = 5Chvojka took 3 of 5
S3Jr3Chvojka2n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
S4Jr2Chvojka2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricJrChvojkaJ − CBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match37.441.6−4.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrChvojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 447 vs 137 / 30153%45.5%237 / 447 vs 137 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChvojkaJr 2.00/Chvojka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chvojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 7 · 11:15L. Jr43111011113P. Chvojka36812881
LAug 28 · 16:10L. Jr42411143102P. Chvojka541181211123
WAug 27 · 12:10L. Jr48111115113P. Chvojka429131371
LAug 11 · 17:15L. Jr2568110P. Chvojka351111133
LAug 11 · 15:45L. Jr29311961P. Chvojka4111811113
L. Jr10
WSep 14 · 10:40L. Jr1.67312411113P. Sturma2.10111011692WSep 13 · 21:23J. Oleksik1.859112101L. Jr1.8511911123WSep 13 · 19:45M. Dolezal1.53105100L. Jr2.381211123LSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192LSep 13 · 18:15L. Jr1.83111111592J. Oleksik1.83813911113LSep 12 · 21:19L. Jr1.5771111772P. Sturma2.25112411113WSep 12 · 20:15J. Jnr1.91101171192L. Jr1.80127116113WSep 12 · 19:15L. Jr1.6191111113P. Sturma2.20117861WSep 12 · 17:45I. Jemelka1.44111125102L. Jr2.63891111123WSep 9 · 13:15J. Sindler1.6541191162L. Jr2.03114118113
P. Chvojka10
WSep 12 · 16:45P. Chvojka1.301114113M. Sobota3.4061290WSep 12 · 16:15M. Sobota2.3822140P. Chvojka1.531111163LSep 12 · 15:15P. Chvojka1.73811991P. Sturma2.0011611113LSep 12 · 13:45J. Jnr1.831111113P. Chvojka1.838680WSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341WSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 11:15P. Chvojka1.67812881L. Jr2.10111011113LSep 7 · 09:45O. Vaclahovsky1.80118119133P. Chvojka1.91411811112LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192
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