TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126592
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Oleksik
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111192111012––
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Oleksik above · Lukas Krupnik Jr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Oleksik 11–8 Lukas Krupnik Jr Lukas Krupnik Jr has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Oleksik beat Jr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oleksik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOleksik 1.85 / Jr 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oleksik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13126592
Oleksik1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Jr1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOleksik5wins
AwayJr5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOleksik60%3 of 5
AwayJr60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oleksik5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Oleksik3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S3Oleksik4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Oleksik5Jr4n = 9Oleksik took 5 of 9
S5Oleksik4Jr2n = 6Oleksik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOleksikJrO − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.0+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOleksikJrBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 81 vs 236 / 44651.9%52.9%42 / 81 vs 236 / 446Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OleksikOleksik 1.85/Jr 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oleksik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 18:15J. Oleksik52813911113L. Jr47111111592
WSep 6 · 17:45J. Oleksik46111176113L. Jr4579111172
LAug 16 · 20:45J. Oleksik37118991L. Jr4181111113
LAug 16 · 18:45J. Oleksik4689111172L. Jr49111197113
LAug 9 · 18:40J. Oleksik33771181L. Jr4111118113
LJul 5 · 18:15J. Oleksik237790L. Jr331111113
WJun 21 · 20:40J. Oleksik45481111113L. Jr4211115782
WJun 21 · 18:45J. Oleksik48119116113L. Jr4191161142
WJun 14 · 20:50J. Oleksik4111118113L. Jr22151151
LJun 14 · 20:15J. Oleksik4111951152L. Jr49711119113
J. Oleksik10
WSep 13 · 20:15J. Oleksik2.10851211113J. Matus1.67111110762WSep 13 · 18:45M. Dolezal1.835620J. Oleksik1.831111113WSep 13 · 18:15L. Jr1.83111111592J. Oleksik1.83813911113LSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113WSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152WSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113WAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113LAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 19:10J. Oleksik2.501111123R. Jancak1.5098100
L. Jr10
WSep 13 · 19:45M. Dolezal1.53105100L. Jr2.381211123LSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192LSep 13 · 18:15L. Jr1.83111111592J. Oleksik1.83813911113LSep 12 · 21:19L. Jr1.5771111772P. Sturma2.25112411113WSep 12 · 20:15J. Jnr1.91101171192L. Jr1.80127116113WSep 12 · 19:15L. Jr1.6191111113P. Sturma2.20117861WSep 12 · 17:45I. Jemelka1.44111125102L. Jr2.63891111123WSep 9 · 13:15J. Sindler1.6541191162L. Jr2.03114118113LSep 9 · 12:15J. Sindler1.6711118113L. Jr2.10761151LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113
Upcoming Matches
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L. Jr
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