TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119501
Played Sep 12Finished
Ivan Jemelka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51112101161214115
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Jnr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Jemelka above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 97 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Jemelka 0–3 Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr Ivan Jemelka has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jnr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Jnr
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jemelka 1389 vs Jnr 1340
Jemelka
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jemelka 60% vs Jnr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jemelka 60% vs Jnr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jemelka -1 · Jnr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jemelka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJemelka 2.00 / Jnr 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jemelka)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13119501
Jemelka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog59% won 29 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Jnr1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 44 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJemelka0wins
AwayJnr3wins
Jnr leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJemelkan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayJnr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jemelka0Jnr3n = 3Jnr took 3 of 3
S2Jemelka1Jnr2n = 3Jnr took 2 of 3
S3Jemelka1Jnr2n = 3Jnr took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricJemelkaJnrJemelka − JnrBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match29.339.7−10.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJemelkaJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 113 vs 134 / 25347.8%53%54 / 113 vs 134 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JemelkaJemelka 2.00/Jnr 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jemelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jemelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 8 · 20:45I. Jemelka31871151J. Jnr4111118113
LAug 8 · 20:10I. Jemelka31612671J. Jnr43111011113
LJul 1 · 20:15I. Jemelka2611870J. Jnr351311113
I. Jemelka10
LSep 12 · 19:45I. Jemelka1.6721111392P. Sturma2.10118811113LSep 12 · 17:45I. Jemelka1.44111125102L. Jr2.63891111123WSep 11 · 21:25P. Jokiel1.5861040I. Jemelka2.131112113WSep 11 · 20:10T. Ogrocki1.6712117792I. Jemelka2.101081111113WSep 11 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.1011119113O. Skvor1.67781171LSep 11 · 17:40P. Jokiel1.5713711113I. Jemelka2.251111671LSep 9 · 21:15O. Skvor1.70611117123I. Jemelka1.96115811102WSep 9 · 20:10J. Vanous1.6761161152I. Jemelka2.10114115113WSep 9 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.2011126113O. Skvor1.615101151LSep 9 · 17:40V. Molin1.53111176123I. Jemelka2.38591111102
J. Jnr10
LSep 12 · 18:15P. Sturma1.6711511113J. Jnr2.10611781LSep 12 · 17:15J. Jnr2.00149561P. Sturma1.73121111113WSep 12 · 15:45J. Jnr2.2511118113P. Sturma1.57851151WSep 12 · 14:45J. Jnr1.83611911113M. Sobota1.8311711362WSep 12 · 13:45J. Jnr1.831111113P. Chvojka1.838680WSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 14:45J. Jnr2.001183101L. Jr1.7381111123WSep 3 · 13:45J. Jnr1.401111113F. Mandrysz2.757560LSep 1 · 16:45L. Jr1.651114816113J. Jnr2.10516111462
Upcoming Matches
I. Jemelka
Nothing scheduled
J. Jnr
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