TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103366
Played Sep 9Finished
Vojtech Molin
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151197116111210
Ivan Jemelka
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:58 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeVojtech Molin to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Molin above · Ivan Jemelka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 93 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vojtech Molin at 62.3%
93 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:58What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Molin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Molin 1389 vs Jemelka 1389
Molin
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 60% vs Jemelka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 50% vs Jemelka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin +1 · Jemelka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Molin) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jemelka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.53 / Jemelka 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Molin)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13103366
Molin1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 16 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it77% 10 of 13
Jemelka2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog59% won 24 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinJemelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 140 vs 49 / 10446.4%47.1%65 / 140 vs 49 / 104Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.53/Jemelka 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Molin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Molin10
WSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin1.5311126113J. Vanous2.389101141WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113
I. Jemelka10
WSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113LSep 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.8031611113I. Jemelka1.911114561LSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152WSep 3 · 18:10I. Jemelka2.101011712113O. Vaclahovsky1.67126111052WAug 26 · 09:13J. Sevecek1.50612451I. Jemelka2.50111011113LAug 26 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.801111113I. Jemelka1.918920
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