Michal Moravec vs Tomas Molin 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13145431

Played Sep 17Finished

Michal Moravec

Home

1.50

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 6

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

117118117––––

Tomas Molin

Away

2.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%

Graded at full time

Michal Moravec to win

62.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Tomas Molin below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Michal Moravec at 62.5%

55 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:23

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Moravec

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Moravec 1584 vs Molin 1524

Moravec

Correct

both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Moravec 100% vs Molin 20%

Moravec

Correct

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Moravec 80% vs Molin 40%

Moravec

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Moravec +5 · Molin -1

Moravec

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Molin form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMoravec 1.50 / Molin 2.50

Signal prob.63% / 38%

Edge (Moravec)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13145431

Moravec1.50

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 6

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite56% won 45 of 80

Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25

Up 1–0, closes it73% 32 of 44

Molin2.50

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog35% won 16 of 46

Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMoravecMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 377 vs 147 / 28250.1%52.1%189 / 377 vs 147 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Moravec

Moravec 1.50/Molin 2.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.5%

Moravec · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Moravec won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Moravec10