Michal Moravec vs Ales Cizek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13058875

Played Sep 1Finished

Michal Moravec

Home

1.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

14123111121513––

Ales Cizek

Away

2.50

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 6

How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Ales Cizek below

Set 1 · 14-12

Set 2 · 3-11

Set 3 · 11-2

Set 4 · 15-13

Point 81 set 4, 15-13

81 points played in total.

H2H Michal Moravec 11–5 Ales Cizek Ales Cizek has won 5 of their 16 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Moravec)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Cizek form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMoravec 1.50 / Cizek 2.50

Signal prob.62% / 39%

Edge (Moravec)-1.0pp (anti-value)

TT Cup · #13058875

Moravec1.50

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite54% won 50 of 93

Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26

Up 1–0, closes it67% 33 of 49

Cizek2.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog42% won 70 of 166

Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 91

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMoravec7wins

AwayCizek3wins

4 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMoravec75%6 of 8

AwayCizekn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Moravec8Cizek2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10

S2Moravec7Cizek3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10

S3Moravec9Cizek1n = 10Moravec took 9 of 10

S4Moravec2Cizek4n = 6Cizek took 4 of 6

S5Moravec1Cizek3n = 4Cizek took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMoravecCizekM − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.234.8+4.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMoravecCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 368 vs 217 / 44949.2%48.3%181 / 368 vs 217 / 449Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Moravec

Moravec 1.50/Cizek 2.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.5%

Moravec · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Moravec won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 1 · 10:40M. Moravec—1111113A. Cizek—9710

LAug 24 · 20:43M. Moravec—11511352A. Cizek—511711113

WAug 24 · 20:15M. Moravec—12117113A. Cizek—1081131

LAug 12 · 19:15M. Moravec—11513972A. Cizek—7111111113

LJul 20 · 16:10M. Moravec—813131272A. Cizek—11111114113

WJul 17 · 16:49M. Moravec—1111113A. Cizek—9850

WJul 17 · 14:15M. Moravec—111128113A. Cizek—711101182

WJun 5 · 16:10M. Moravec—1111133A. Cizek—79110

WMay 16 · 21:08M. Moravec—71111113A. Cizek—117841

WMay 16 · 19:40M. Moravec—1211113A. Cizek—10540

M. Moravec10

LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec2.007880T. Kindl1.731111113 WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113 LSep 1 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.801114113M. Moravec1.9131280 LSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100 LSep 1 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.69811128113M. Moravec1.96116101162 LSep 1 · 07:15I. Heuman1.64611911113M. Moravec2.0411711562 LSep 1 · 06:15M. Moravec1.981081191B. Mrowetz1.7312118113 LAug 31 · 12:35M. Moravec1.915590T. Krenek1.801111113 LAug 31 · 12:10M. Moravec1.836980R. Benes1.831111113 WAug 31 · 10:40T. Krenek1.731310131192M. Moravec2.001112157113

A. Cizek10

LSep 8 · 20:45A. Cizek1.9111117492J. Lisztwan1.80581111113 LSep 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.531111113A. Cizek2.385970 WSep 8 · 19:15A. Cizek2.381141111113J. Lisztwan1.5371151372 LSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192 WSep 7 · 20:40D. Branny1.671166131A. Cizek2.1041111153 LSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860 LSep 7 · 19:10D. Branny2.101211113A. Cizek1.6710870 WSep 7 · 18:10A. Cizek1.7312119123T. Molin2.0010711101 WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113 LSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113

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