TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13052586
Played Aug 31Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511911––––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Moravec 16–21 Tomas Krenek Michal Moravec has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.91 / Krenek 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Krenek)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13052586
Moravec1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 47 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back29% 17 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Krenek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 118 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 78 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec5wins
AwayKrenek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec75%3 of 4
AwayKrenek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Moravec6Krenek4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S3Moravec3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S4Moravec3Krenek4n = 7Krenek took 4 of 7
S5Moravec3Krenek1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecKrenekM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.6−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 360 vs 436 / 86750%50.3%180 / 360 vs 436 / 867Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekMoravec 1.91/Krenek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 10:40M. Moravec—1112157113T. Krenek—1310131192
LAug 18 · 15:40M. Moravec—118121392T. Krenek—7111411113
LJul 13 · 12:15M. Moravec—5960T. Krenek—1111113
LJul 9 · 12:45M. Moravec—61290T. Krenek—1114113
WJul 9 · 12:10M. Moravec—913711123T. Krenek—1111115102
WJun 30 · 10:10M. Moravec—1111105113T. Krenek—89121192
WJun 13 · 15:40M. Moravec—111110113T. Krenek—891261
WJun 9 · 16:10M. Moravec—1111113T. Krenek—8590
LJun 3 · 12:35M. Moravec—11121081T. Krenek—131012113
LJun 3 · 11:10M. Moravec—581191T. Krenek—11114113
M. Moravec10
WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec1.5014311153A. Cizek2.5012112131LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec2.007880T. Kindl1.731111113WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113LSep 1 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.801114113M. Moravec1.9131280LSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100LSep 1 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.69811128113M. Moravec1.96116101162LSep 1 · 07:15I. Heuman1.64611911113M. Moravec2.0411711562LSep 1 · 06:15M. Moravec1.981081191B. Mrowetz1.7312118113LAug 31 · 12:10M. Moravec1.836980R. Benes1.831111113WAug 31 · 10:40T. Krenek1.731310131192M. Moravec2.001112157113
T. Krenek10
LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581LAug 31 · 10:40T. Krenek1.731310131192M. Moravec2.001112157113
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