TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13056011
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811811––––
Tomas Kindl
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Michal Moravec 2–2 Tomas Kindl Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kindl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1451 vs Kindl 1540
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 20% vs Kindl 80%
Kindl
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 20% vs Kindl 50%
Kindl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +1 · Kindl +4
Kindl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kindl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.00 / Kindl 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kindl)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13056011
Moravec2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 48 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back30% 18 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Kindl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 57 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it68% 36 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMoravec2wins
AwayKindl2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKindl66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec1Kindl3n = 4Kindl took 3 of 4
S2Moravec1Kindl3n = 4Kindl took 3 of 4
S3Moravec3Kindl1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
S4Moravec2Kindl1n = 3Moravec took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMoravecKindlM − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match39.540.5−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 367 vs 192 / 38449.3%50%181 / 367 vs 192 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.941.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlMoravec 2.00/Kindl 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 3 · 11:45M. Moravec—6760T. Kindl—111183
WApr 23 · 11:10M. Moravec—101111123T. Kindl—1288101
LMar 3 · 10:05M. Moravec—58111582T. Kindl—1111713113
WMar 3 · 07:10M. Moravec—1141111113T. Kindl—51191332
M. Moravec10
WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec1.5014311153A. Cizek2.5012112131WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113LSep 1 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.801114113M. Moravec1.9131280LSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100LSep 1 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.69811128113M. Moravec1.96116101162LSep 1 · 07:15I. Heuman1.64611911113M. Moravec2.0411711562LSep 1 · 06:15M. Moravec1.981081191B. Mrowetz1.7312118113LAug 31 · 12:35M. Moravec1.915590T. Krenek1.801111113LAug 31 · 12:10M. Moravec1.836980R. Benes1.831111113WAug 31 · 10:40T. Krenek1.731310131192M. Moravec2.001112157113
T. Kindl10
LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882
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