TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095329
Played Sep 8Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911911––––
Tomas Kindl
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 55.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 9–4 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kindl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Jr
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1559 vs Kindl 1592
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Kindl 60%
Kindl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 20% vs Kindl 70%
Kindl
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -3 · Kindl -1
Jr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kindl) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.25 / Kindl 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kindl)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13095329
Jr2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 121 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back30% 35 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 52
Kindl1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 63 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it70% 40 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayKindl4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%5 of 5
AwayKindl80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr5Kindl5n = 10split evenly
S2Jr7Kindl3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S3Jr6Kindl4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr2Kindl5n = 7Kindl took 5 of 7
S5Jr2Kindl1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKindlJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.838.5+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 517 vs 205 / 40449.9%50.7%258 / 517 vs 205 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.541.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlJr 2.25/Kindl 1.57
Hit
What we said
61.3%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 09:40D. Jr—10111191T. Kindl—12713113
WAug 21 · 06:45D. Jr—10112210113T. Kindl—122201272
WAug 5 · 07:10D. Jr—1111123T. Kindl—98100
LJul 19 · 18:40D. Jr—781191T. Kindl—11114113
WJul 7 · 08:40D. Jr—1114113T. Kindl—91270
WJul 7 · 06:10D. Jr—111111113T. Kindl—981381
WJul 1 · 06:10D. Jr—1111118113T. Kindl—98131182
WJun 3 · 06:15D. Jr—11812113T. Kindl—5111051
LMay 4 · 05:40D. Jr—7980T. Kindl—1111113
LApr 23 · 09:40D. Jr—611116122T. Kindl—115511143
D. Jr10
WSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113LSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890LSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143WSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113LSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak1.5091111113D. Jr2.50116861WSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123LSep 7 · 12:10R. Benes1.9111611113D. Jr1.80711681LSep 7 · 11:10D. Jr1.7310830B. Mrowetz2.001211113
T. Kindl10
LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113
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