TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095300
Played Sep 8Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81112101012112711
Tomas Kindl
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:30 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 58.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 8–5 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:30What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1645 vs Kindl 1590
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 40% vs Kindl 80%
Kindl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 50% vs Kindl 70%
Kindl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna -3 · Kindl -1
Skvrna
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.61 / Kindl 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skvrna)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13095300
Skvrna1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 226 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it74% 159 of 215
Kindl2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 56 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna6wins
AwayKindl4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna62.5%5 of 8
AwayKindln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna8Kindl2n = 10Skvrna took 8 of 10
S2Skvrna1Kindl9n = 10Kindl took 9 of 10
S3Skvrna6Kindl4n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S4Skvrna5Kindl4n = 9Skvrna took 5 of 9
S5Skvrna3Kindl2n = 5Skvrna took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaKindlS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.143.1+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 785 vs 204 / 40257.8%50.8%454 / 785 vs 204 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.941.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.61/Kindl 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 21:20J. Skvrna—118111682T. Kindl—711818113
WAug 13 · 18:15J. Skvrna—11511113T. Kindl—411791
LJul 19 · 21:18J. Skvrna—6990T. Kindl—1111113
WJul 19 · 18:10J. Skvrna—111153113T. Kindl—69111182
WJun 26 · 10:15J. Skvrna—111211123T. Kindl—8147101
WJun 23 · 11:40J. Skvrna—11111411153T. Kindl—1313124132
LJun 12 · 06:40J. Skvrna—1171191T. Kindl—81113113
WJun 8 · 06:45J. Skvrna—128811113T. Kindl—101111872
LMay 21 · 06:40J. Skvrna—11311882T. Kindl—711811113
WMay 15 · 07:45J. Skvrna—141111113T. Kindl—1213641
J. Skvrna10
WSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681
T. Kindl10
LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113WSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592LSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113
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