Tomas Kindl vs Dalibor Velky Jr 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13098940

Played Sep 8Finished

Tomas Kindl

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

7119111311511––

Dalibor Velky Jr

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Dalibor Velky Jr below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 5-11

Point 78 set 4, 5-11

78 points played in total.

H2H Tomas Kindl 5–9 Dalibor Velky Jr Tomas Kindl has won 5 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Kindl beat Jr 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kindl)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKindl 1.67 / Jr 2.10

Signal prob.59% / 42%

Edge (Kindl)+2.7pp

TT Cup · #13098940

Kindl1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite54% won 63 of 117

Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24

Up 1–0, closes it70% 40 of 57

Jr2.10

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog52% won 121 of 235

Down 0–1, comes back30% 35 of 115

Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 52

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKindl4wins

AwayJr6wins

2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKindl80%4 of 5

AwayJr100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kindl5Jr5n = 10split evenly

S2Kindl4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10

S3Kindl5Jr5n = 10split evenly

S4Kindl4Jr2n = 6Kindl took 4 of 6

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricKindlJrK − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.4−2.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKindlJrBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 405 vs 258 / 51850.9%49.8%206 / 405 vs 258 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.539.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kindl

Kindl 1.67/Jr 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.5%

Kindl · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Jr won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 8 · 12:10T. Kindl—1111113D. Jr—4990

WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl—12713113D. Jr—10111191

LAug 21 · 06:45T. Kindl—122201272D. Jr—10112210113

LAug 5 · 07:10T. Kindl—98100D. Jr—1111123

WJul 19 · 18:40T. Kindl—11114113D. Jr—781191

LJul 7 · 08:40T. Kindl—91270D. Jr—1114113

LJul 7 · 06:10T. Kindl—981381D. Jr—111111113

LJul 1 · 06:10T. Kindl—98131182D. Jr—1111118113

LJun 3 · 06:15T. Kindl—5111051D. Jr—11812113

WMay 4 · 05:40T. Kindl—1111113D. Jr—7980

T. Kindl10

WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113 LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113 WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113 LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113 WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161 WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950 WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191 WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123 WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882 LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113

D. Jr10

LSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113 LSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362 LSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890 LSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143 WSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113 LSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113 LSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak1.5091111113D. Jr2.50116861 WSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123 LSep 7 · 12:10R. Benes1.9111611113D. Jr1.80711681 LSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191

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