TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095321
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12109111113911––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 86 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 12–11 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1602 vs Krenek 1660
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 80% vs Krenek 40%
Kindl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 80% vs Krenek 60%
Kindl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl +1 · Krenek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.83 / Krenek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krenek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13095321
Kindl1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Krenek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKindl4wins
AwayKrenek6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKindl50%2 of 4
AwayKrenek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Kindl8Krenek2n = 10Kindl took 8 of 10
S3Kindl6Krenek4n = 10Kindl took 6 of 10
S4Kindl4Krenek5n = 9Krenek took 5 of 9
S5Kindl1Krenek5n = 6Krenek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKindlKrenekKindl − KrenekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match46.444.3+2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 403 vs 452 / 89350.9%50.6%205 / 403 vs 452 / 893Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKindl 1.83/Krenek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 07:45T. Kindl—511119102T. Krenek—119911123
WJul 20 · 06:40T. Kindl—91111123T. Krenek—1184101
LJun 23 · 10:40T. Kindl—911119102T. Krenek—115611123
LJun 2 · 13:10T. Kindl—1611121052T. Krenek—1831012113
WJun 2 · 11:40T. Kindl—71111113T. Krenek—117771
LMay 21 · 09:25T. Kindl—111161092T. Krenek—981112113
WMay 21 · 06:10T. Kindl—117911123T. Krenek—911118102
LMay 19 · 19:45T. Kindl—815101392T. Krenek—11131211113
LApr 13 · 08:10T. Kindl—11714141T. Krenek—41116163
WApr 7 · 14:40T. Kindl—1111113T. Krenek—7960
T. Kindl10
LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113
T. Krenek10
LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092
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