TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13057552
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
1.98
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811118911––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1012811118911––
H2H Michal Moravec 11–14 Bruno Mrowetz Michal Moravec has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Mrowetz
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1456 vs Mrowetz 1616
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 20% vs Mrowetz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 20% vs Mrowetz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -2 · Mrowetz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Mrowetz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.98 / Mrowetz 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Mrowetz)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13057552
Moravec1.98
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 48 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back28% 18 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Mrowetz1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 70 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec2wins
AwayMrowetz8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMrowetz leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec50%2 of 4
AwayMrowetz100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec4Mrowetz6n = 10Mrowetz took 6 of 10
S2Moravec2Mrowetz8n = 10Mrowetz took 8 of 10
S3Moravec4Mrowetz6n = 10Mrowetz took 6 of 10
S4Moravec0Mrowetz6n = 6Mrowetz took 6 of 6
S5Moravec2Mrowetz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecMrowetzMoravec − MrowetzBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.344.4−6.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 369 vs 228 / 46149.3%49.5%182 / 369 vs 228 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMoravec 1.98/Mrowetz 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 08:55M. Moravec—913100B. Mrowetz—1115123
LSep 1 · 06:15M. Moravec—1081191B. Mrowetz—12118113
WAug 22 · 17:19M. Moravec—1210116163B. Mrowetz—1012711142
LAug 22 · 14:10M. Moravec—111113862B. Mrowetz—9131111113
LAug 8 · 11:45M. Moravec—51211362B. Mrowetz—1110811113
LJul 27 · 11:10M. Moravec—81470B. Mrowetz—1116113
LJul 24 · 14:15M. Moravec—99100B. Mrowetz—1111123
WJul 22 · 11:10M. Moravec—1211106133B. Mrowetz—1091211112
LJul 20 · 14:40M. Moravec—106110B. Mrowetz—1211133
LJul 10 · 13:20M. Moravec—129781B. Mrowetz—101111113
M. Moravec10
WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec1.5014311153A. Cizek2.5012112131LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec2.007880T. Kindl1.731111113WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113LSep 1 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.801114113M. Moravec1.9131280LSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100LSep 1 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.69811128113M. Moravec1.96116101162LSep 1 · 07:15I. Heuman1.64611911113M. Moravec2.0411711562LAug 31 · 12:35M. Moravec1.915590T. Krenek1.801111113LAug 31 · 12:10M. Moravec1.836980R. Benes1.831111113WAug 31 · 10:40T. Krenek1.731310131192M. Moravec2.001112157113
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113LSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 11:10D. Jr1.7310830B. Mrowetz2.001211113WSep 7 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.671111133R. Benes2.1077110LSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100
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