TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13057490
Played Sep 1Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
1.64
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611117911115116
Michal Moravec
Away
2.04
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:53 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Heuman to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Michal Moravec below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Heuman at 58.2%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 5–5 Michal Moravec Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Heuman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1524 vs Moravec 1456
Heuman
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 60% vs Moravec 20%
Heuman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 40% vs Moravec 10%
Heuman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman -1 · Moravec -3
Moravec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Heuman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 1.64 / Moravec 2.04
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Heuman)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13057490
Heuman1.64
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 47 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Moravec2.04
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 48 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back28% 18 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeuman5wins
AwayMoravec5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman66.7%4 of 6
AwayMoravec75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman6Moravec4n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S2Heuman5Moravec5n = 10split evenly
S3Heuman3Moravec7n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S4Heuman5Moravec3n = 8Heuman took 5 of 8
S5Heuman3Moravec3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeumanMoravecH − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.439.1+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 389 vs 182 / 36949.4%49.3%192 / 389 vs 182 / 369Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanHeuman 1.64/Moravec 2.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 07:15I. Heuman—611911113M. Moravec—11711562
LJul 24 · 15:45I. Heuman—11861182M. Moravec—811117113
LJun 5 · 14:40I. Heuman—1091181M. Moravec—12114113
WMay 10 · 20:45I. Heuman—111379123M. Moravec—5111111102
LMay 10 · 19:45I. Heuman—96111142M. Moravec—111159113
WMar 2 · 07:10I. Heuman—11118113M. Moravec—781161
WJan 24 · 21:10I. Heuman—1111113M. Moravec—4590
LJan 4 · 22:20I. Heuman—87100M. Moravec—1111123
LJan 4 · 19:40I. Heuman—14951192M. Moravec—1211115113
WDec 21 · 19:40I. Heuman—111156113M. Moravec—36111152
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123
M. Moravec10
WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec1.5014311153A. Cizek2.5012112131LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec2.007880T. Kindl1.731111113WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113LSep 1 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.801114113M. Moravec1.9131280LSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100LSep 1 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.69811128113M. Moravec1.96116101162LSep 1 · 06:15M. Moravec1.981081191B. Mrowetz1.7312118113LAug 31 · 12:35M. Moravec1.915590T. Krenek1.801111113LAug 31 · 12:10M. Moravec1.836980R. Benes1.831111113WAug 31 · 10:40T. Krenek1.731310131192M. Moravec2.001112157113
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