TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098061
Played Sep 8Finished
Ales Cizek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1174111151113117
Jan Lisztwan
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:50 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJan Lisztwan to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Jan Lisztwan below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Lisztwan at 60.8%
91 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:50What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lisztwan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1473 vs Lisztwan 1625
Lisztwan
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 40% vs Lisztwan 20%
Cizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 30% vs Lisztwan 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -1 · Lisztwan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lisztwan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lisztwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 2.38 / Lisztwan 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Lisztwan)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13098061
Cizek2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Lisztwan1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 21 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekLisztwanBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 467 vs 43 / 7347.8%58.9%223 / 467 vs 43 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LisztwanCizek 2.38/Lisztwan 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Lisztwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cizek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Cizek10
LSep 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.531111113A. Cizek2.385970LSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192WSep 7 · 20:40D. Branny1.671166131A. Cizek2.1041111153LSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860LSep 7 · 19:10D. Branny2.101211113A. Cizek1.6710870WSep 7 · 18:10A. Cizek1.7312119123T. Molin2.0010711101WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113
J. Lisztwan10
WSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113LSep 8 · 18:15J. Lisztwan1.831061151J. Krupnik1.8312119113WJul 23 · 16:55B. Moravec1.73811841J. Lisztwan2.0011611113LJul 23 · 15:45B. Moravec2.001111113J. Lisztwan1.737740LJul 23 · 15:15M. Mikolasik2.201111113J. Lisztwan1.618960LJul 23 · 14:15J. Lisztwan1.5010131181K. Kleprlik2.5012157113LJul 7 · 17:15J. Lisztwan1.47911861B. Mrowetz2.3911511113WJul 7 · 15:45J. Lisztwan1.41119175113J. Krupnik2.70711151182WJul 7 · 14:45J. Lisztwan1.75111113123M. Macurak1.988915101WJul 7 · 13:45J. Lisztwan1.521111123B. Mrowetz2.2758100
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