TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098072
Played Sep 8Finished
David Skulina
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214811711––––
Jan Lisztwan
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:50 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJan Lisztwan to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Jan Lisztwan below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 63 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jan Lisztwan at 55.8%
63 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 0–1 Jan Lisztwan David Skulina has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:50What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lisztwan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1668 vs Lisztwan 1616
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 80% vs Lisztwan 20%
Skulina
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 60% vs Lisztwan 40%
Skulina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina +4 · Lisztwan -1
Skulina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lisztwan) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lisztwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 2.00 / Lisztwan 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lisztwan)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13098072
Skulina2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Lisztwan1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 21 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkulina0wins
AwayLisztwan1wins
Lisztwan leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkulinaLisztwanS − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.039.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaLisztwanBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 151 vs 43 / 7451.7%58.1%78 / 151 vs 43 / 74Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LisztwanSkulina 2.00/Lisztwan 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lisztwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lisztwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 29 · 15:10D. Skulina—1188101J. Lisztwan—51111123
D. Skulina10
WSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192WSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113WSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113
J. Lisztwan10
LSep 8 · 19:15A. Cizek2.381141111113J. Lisztwan1.5371151372LSep 8 · 18:15J. Lisztwan1.831061151J. Krupnik1.8312119113WJul 23 · 16:55B. Moravec1.73811841J. Lisztwan2.0011611113LJul 23 · 15:45B. Moravec2.001111113J. Lisztwan1.737740LJul 23 · 15:15M. Mikolasik2.201111113J. Lisztwan1.618960LJul 23 · 14:15J. Lisztwan1.5010131181K. Kleprlik2.5012157113LJul 7 · 17:15J. Lisztwan1.47911861B. Mrowetz2.3911511113WJul 7 · 15:45J. Lisztwan1.41119175113J. Krupnik2.70711151182WJul 7 · 14:45J. Lisztwan1.75111113123M. Macurak1.988915101WJul 7 · 13:45J. Lisztwan1.521111123B. Mrowetz2.2758100
Upcoming Matches
D. Skulina
J. Lisztwan
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.