David Skulina vs Radek Sedlacek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13091024

Played Sep 7Finished

David Skulina

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

131113151151412––

Radek Sedlacek

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:38 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%

Graded at full time

David Skulina to win

60.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Radek Sedlacek below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 13-15

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 14-12

Point 94 set 4, 14-12 — our read held David Skulina at 60.3%

94 points played in total.

H2H David Skulina 4–1 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 4–1Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:38

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Skulina

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-1 in 5

Skulina

Correct

gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Skulina 1607 vs Sedlacek 1583

Skulina

Correct

both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Skulina 40% vs Sedlacek 60%

Sedlacek

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Skulina 50% vs Sedlacek 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Skulina +1 · Sedlacek -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skulina)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sedlacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSkulina 1.57 / Sedlacek 2.25

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Skulina)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13091024

Skulina1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite56% won 27 of 48

Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28

Sedlacek2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog47% won 34 of 73

Down 0–1, comes back31% 13 of 42

Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeSkulina4wins

AwaySedlacek1wins

1 of 5 to a deciderSkulina leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSkulina75%3 of 4

AwaySedlacekn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Skulina4Sedlacek1n = 5Skulina took 4 of 5

S2Skulina4Sedlacek1n = 5Skulina took 4 of 5

S3Skulina1Sedlacek4n = 5Sedlacek took 4 of 5

S4Skulina3Sedlacek2n = 5Skulina took 3 of 5

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home360%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricSkulinaSedlacekSkulina − SedlacekBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.237.4+2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSkulinaSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 145 vs 136 / 29050.3%46.9%73 / 145 vs 136 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Skulina

Skulina 1.57/Sedlacek 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.1%

Skulina · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Skulina won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

LAug 24 · 21:13D. Skulina—129731R. Sedlacek—101111113

WAug 24 · 19:45D. Skulina—111187113R. Sedlacek—97111162

WApr 6 · 18:10D. Skulina—11116113R. Sedlacek—591151

WMar 23 · 14:10D. Skulina—51111113R. Sedlacek—119691

WMar 23 · 12:40D. Skulina—111211113R. Sedlacek—5101371

D. Skulina10

WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950 LSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113 WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123 LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113 LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113 LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113 WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131 LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161 WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123 WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291

R. Sedlacek10

WSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102 LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113 WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141 WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890 WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972 LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192 WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101 LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113 LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113 LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970

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