TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091778
Played Sep 7Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911711––––
Jakub Travnicek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Jakub Travnicek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held David Skulina at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 4–4 Jakub Travnicek Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1618 vs Travnicek 1612
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 40% vs Travnicek 60%
Travnicek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 60% vs Travnicek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina +2 · Travnicek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.73 / Travnicek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skulina)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13091778
Skulina1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 27 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Travnicek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 67 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back31% 25 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkulina4wins
AwayTravnicek4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulina66.7%4 of 6
AwayTravnicekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina6Travnicek2n = 8Skulina took 6 of 8
S2Skulina3Travnicek5n = 8Travnicek took 5 of 8
S3Skulina4Travnicek4n = 8split evenly
S4Skulina2Travnicek4n = 6Travnicek took 4 of 6
S5Skulina2Travnicek2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkulinaTravnicekS − TBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match40.441.1−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaTravnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 146 vs 198 / 40150.7%49.4%74 / 146 vs 198 / 401Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.73/Travnicek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina—4740J. Travnicek—111163
WSep 4 · 19:15D. Skulina—1111148123J. Travnicek—751611102
LSep 2 · 17:45D. Skulina—139131182J. Travnicek—1111158113
WAug 20 · 21:05D. Skulina—11113123J. Travnicek—5411101
LAug 20 · 17:40D. Skulina—118128112J. Travnicek—9111011133
WMay 3 · 20:45D. Skulina—1111113J. Travnicek—9860
WMay 3 · 17:45D. Skulina—119115143J. Travnicek—611811122
LJan 12 · 19:40D. Skulina—681131J. Travnicek—11118113
D. Skulina10
WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950WSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291
J. Travnicek10
LSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113
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