TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091316
Played Sep 7Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119115––––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5 — our read held David Skulina at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 4–3 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:37What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skulina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1617 vs Krupnik 1576
Skulina
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 40% vs Krupnik 60%
Krupnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 50% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -1 · Krupnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.80 / Krupnik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skulina)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13091316
Skulina1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 27 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Krupnik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 105 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSkulina4wins
AwayKrupnik3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSkulina leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulina75%3 of 4
AwayKrupnik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina4Krupnik3n = 7Skulina took 4 of 7
S2Skulina6Krupnik1n = 7Skulina took 6 of 7
S3Skulina6Krupnik1n = 7Skulina took 6 of 7
S4Skulina0Krupnik4n = 4Krupnik took 4 of 4
S5Skulina1Krupnik2n = 3Krupnik took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSkulinaKrupnikS − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.335.4+3.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 148 vs 436 / 85250.7%51.2%75 / 148 vs 436 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.80/Krupnik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina—1111113J. Krupnik—7950
WAug 21 · 16:10D. Skulina—511118113J. Krupnik—11981182
LJul 23 · 12:15D. Skulina—121111972J. Krupnik—145611113
WMar 11 · 12:40D. Skulina—1111113J. Krupnik—8880
WMar 2 · 10:40D. Skulina—1111123J. Krupnik—92100
LDec 16 · 16:45D. Skulina—11118682J. Krupnik—741111113
LDec 15 · 20:10D. Skulina—971361J. Krupnik—111111113
D. Skulina10
LSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113WSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291
J. Krupnik10
LSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102WSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181
Upcoming Matches
D. Skulina1 of 1 neutral
J. Krupnik
Nothing scheduled
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