TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091828
Played Sep 7Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101167116111210
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 13–12 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krupnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-12 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1572 vs Krupnik 1612
Krupnik
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 60% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 40% vs Krupnik 60%
Krupnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -2 · Krupnik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.91 / Krupnik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13091828
Sedlacek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 34 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back31% 13 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Krupnik1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 155 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it96% 70 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it73% 111 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek5wins
AwayKrupnik5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek100%4 of 4
AwayKrupnik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Sedlacek4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S4Sedlacek4Krupnik1n = 5Sedlacek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekKrupnikS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.8−1.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 291 vs 436 / 85046.7%51.3%136 / 291 vs 436 / 850Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikSedlacek 1.91/Krupnik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek—931151J. Krupnik—11119113
WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek—12143113J. Krupnik—10121141
LAug 22 · 20:10R. Sedlacek—75110J. Krupnik—1111133
WJul 17 · 05:45R. Sedlacek—11126113J. Krupnik—8101131
LJul 12 · 21:10R. Sedlacek—8980J. Krupnik—1111113
WJul 12 · 18:40R. Sedlacek—1111143J. Krupnik—92120
LMay 6 · 05:45R. Sedlacek—10370J. Krupnik—1211113
LApr 21 · 08:10R. Sedlacek—16111252J. Krupnik—1111710113
WMar 13 · 13:50R. Sedlacek—10101211133J. Krupnik—1212102112
WMar 13 · 11:40R. Sedlacek—1511113J. Krupnik—13750
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651LSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113
J. Krupnik10
LSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950WSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181
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