TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091417
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911116115––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 4–2 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Travnicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Travnicek
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1615 vs Sedlacek 1595
Travnicek
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 60% vs Sedlacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 50% vs Sedlacek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +1 · Sedlacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.80 / Sedlacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Travnicek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13091417
Travnicek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite45% won 39 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it72% 31 of 43
Sedlacek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 34 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back31% 13 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTravnicek4wins
AwaySedlacek2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderTravnicek leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek100%3 of 3
AwaySedlacek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek3Sedlacek3n = 6split evenly
S2Travnicek4Sedlacek2n = 6Travnicek took 4 of 6
S3Travnicek3Sedlacek3n = 6split evenly
S4Travnicek2Sedlacek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricTravnicekSedlacekT − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.834.2+4.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 403 vs 137 / 29249.4%46.9%199 / 403 vs 137 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.80/Sedlacek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 20 · 20:10J. Travnicek—91111101R. Sedlacek—11813123
LJan 4 · 17:45J. Travnicek—7680R. Sedlacek—1111113
WJan 4 · 14:40J. Travnicek—1411133R. Sedlacek—126110
WJan 3 · 11:15J. Travnicek—1111116113R. Sedlacek—95131152
WDec 12 · 20:15J. Travnicek—101111113R. Sedlacek—126881
WDec 10 · 21:15J. Travnicek—11711113R. Sedlacek—311441
J. Travnicek10
LSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113LSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113WSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102LSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113
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