TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094874
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
2114111315––––
David Skulina
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 56 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 5–4 David Skulina David Skulina has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Travnicek beat Skulina 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skulina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1626 vs Skulina 1617
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 60% vs Skulina 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 50% vs Skulina 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +2 · Skulina +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.83 / Skulina 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Travnicek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13094874
Travnicek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Skulina1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTravnicek5wins
AwaySkulina4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderTravnicek leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek100%3 of 3
AwaySkulina66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek3Skulina6n = 9Skulina took 6 of 9
S2Travnicek6Skulina3n = 9Travnicek took 6 of 9
S3Travnicek5Skulina4n = 9Travnicek took 5 of 9
S4Travnicek4Skulina2n = 6Travnicek took 4 of 6
S5Travnicek2Skulina2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricTravnicekSkulinaT − SBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match40.838.6+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 404 vs 75 / 14849.5%50.7%200 / 404 vs 75 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.83/Skulina 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 7 · 18:45J. Travnicek—1111113D. Skulina—5970
WSep 6 · 18:40J. Travnicek—1111113D. Skulina—4770
LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek—751611102D. Skulina—1111148123
WSep 2 · 17:45J. Travnicek—1111158113D. Skulina—139131182
LAug 20 · 21:05J. Travnicek—5411101D. Skulina—11113123
WAug 20 · 17:40J. Travnicek—9111011133D. Skulina—118128112
LMay 3 · 20:45J. Travnicek—9860D. Skulina—1111113
LMay 3 · 17:45J. Travnicek—611811122D. Skulina—119115143
WJan 12 · 19:40J. Travnicek—11118113D. Skulina—681131
J. Travnicek10
WSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651WSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113LSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123
D. Skulina10
WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113WSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123
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