TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091032
Played Sep 7Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111513119511116
Jakub Travnicek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:38 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Jakub Travnicek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 101 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 56.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 18–10 Jakub Travnicek Jakub Travnicek has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-10 in 28
Krupnik
Correct
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1601 vs Travnicek 1612
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Travnicek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 50% vs Travnicek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik +1 · Travnicek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.73 / Travnicek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13091032
Krupnik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 155 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it96% 70 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it73% 111 of 153
Travnicek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 67 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back31% 25 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik6wins
AwayTravnicek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik83.3%5 of 6
AwayTravnicek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik6Travnicek4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik4Travnicek6n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S3Krupnik6Travnicek4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S4Krupnik2Travnicek4n = 6Travnicek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikTravnicekK − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.635.4+1.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikTravnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 849 vs 198 / 40151.2%49.4%435 / 849 vs 198 / 401Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.73/Travnicek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 18:15J. Krupnik—12911113J. Travnicek—1011581
LJul 30 · 18:15J. Krupnik—911251J. Travnicek—11311113
LJul 5 · 14:45J. Krupnik—61090J. Travnicek—1112113
LJun 28 · 14:45J. Krupnik—158791J. Travnicek—131111113
WJun 23 · 19:45J. Krupnik—119117113J. Travnicek—81151192
WMay 22 · 19:10J. Krupnik—1111133J. Travnicek—82110
WMay 16 · 20:15J. Krupnik—1110125113J. Travnicek—512101162
WMay 12 · 20:45J. Krupnik—51112133J. Travnicek—11410111
LMay 12 · 20:15J. Krupnik—8870J. Travnicek—1111113
WMay 10 · 16:55J. Krupnik—1111133J. Travnicek—78110
J. Krupnik10
LSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181
J. Travnicek10
WSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113
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