TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094875
Played Sep 7Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113611911––––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11
61 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 13–12 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sedlacek beat Krupnik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.83 / Krupnik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sedlacek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13094875
Sedlacek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Krupnik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek5wins
AwayKrupnik5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek100%4 of 4
AwayKrupnik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Sedlacek4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S4Sedlacek4Krupnik1n = 5Sedlacek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekKrupnikS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.8−1.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 293 vs 436 / 85246.8%51.2%137 / 293 vs 436 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.83/Krupnik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek—931151J. Krupnik—11119113
WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek—12143113J. Krupnik—10121141
LAug 22 · 20:10R. Sedlacek—75110J. Krupnik—1111133
WJul 17 · 05:45R. Sedlacek—11126113J. Krupnik—8101131
LJul 12 · 21:10R. Sedlacek—8980J. Krupnik—1111113
WJul 12 · 18:40R. Sedlacek—1111143J. Krupnik—92120
LMay 6 · 05:45R. Sedlacek—10370J. Krupnik—1211113
LApr 21 · 08:10R. Sedlacek—16111252J. Krupnik—1111710113
WMar 13 · 13:50R. Sedlacek—10101211133J. Krupnik—1212102112
WMar 13 · 11:40R. Sedlacek—1511113J. Krupnik—13750
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651WSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102LSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113
J. Krupnik10
LSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102WSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113
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