Borek Moravec vs Jan Lisztwan 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12289084

Played Jul 23Finished

Borek Moravec

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811116811411––

Jan Lisztwan

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Jan Lisztwan below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 4-11

Point 70 set 4, 4-11

70 points played in total.

H2H Borek Moravec 7–5 Jan Lisztwan Jan Lisztwan has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Moravec)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lisztwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMoravec 1.73 / Lisztwan 2.00

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Moravec)+2.0pp

TT Cup · #12289084

Moravec1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite64% won 88 of 137

Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37

Up 1–0, closes it79% 59 of 75

Lisztwan2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMoravec7wins

AwayLisztwan3wins

5 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMoravec66.7%2 of 3

AwayLisztwan28.6%2 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Moravec3Lisztwan7n = 10Lisztwan took 7 of 10

S2Moravec5Lisztwan5n = 10split evenly

S3Moravec6Lisztwan4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10

S4Moravec6Lisztwan2n = 8Moravec took 6 of 8

S5Moravec4Lisztwan1n = 5Moravec took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMoravecLisztwanM − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.238.3+4.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMoravecLisztwanBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 367 vs 42 / 7154.2%59.2%199 / 367 vs 42 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Moravec

Moravec 1.73/Lisztwan 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.7%

Moravec · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Lisztwan won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 23 · 15:45B. Moravec—1111113J. Lisztwan—7740

WJun 16 · 15:40B. Moravec—8111112113J. Lisztwan—116131092

WMay 28 · 16:45B. Moravec—61111113J. Lisztwan—111821

WMay 28 · 14:40B. Moravec—116411113J. Lisztwan—51111292

WMay 12 · 15:40B. Moravec—9101114113J. Lisztwan—111241282

WApr 29 · 17:09B. Moravec—91111113J. Lisztwan—117311

LApr 29 · 13:40B. Moravec—111012972J. Lisztwan—6121011113

LApr 14 · 17:10B. Moravec—991281J. Lisztwan—111110113

WApr 14 · 15:10B. Moravec—717411113J. Lisztwan—111511892

LMar 18 · 16:45B. Moravec—95160J. Lisztwan—1111183

B. Moravec10

WSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113 LSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113 LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113 LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113 WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462 WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032 WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431 WAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172 LAug 25 · 16:55J. Rak—116113113B. Moravec—61141182 LAug 25 · 16:15J. Rak1.8311119113B. Moravec1.83691171

J. Lisztwan10

WSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113 LSep 8 · 19:15A. Cizek2.381141111113J. Lisztwan1.5371151372 LSep 8 · 18:15J. Lisztwan1.831061151J. Krupnik1.8312119113 LJul 23 · 15:45B. Moravec2.001111113J. Lisztwan1.737740 LJul 23 · 15:15M. Mikolasik2.201111113J. Lisztwan1.618960 LJul 23 · 14:15J. Lisztwan1.5010131181K. Kleprlik2.5012157113 LJul 7 · 17:15J. Lisztwan1.47911861B. Mrowetz2.3911511113 WJul 7 · 15:45J. Lisztwan1.41119175113J. Krupnik2.70711151182 WJul 7 · 14:45J. Lisztwan1.75111113123M. Macurak1.988915101 WJul 7 · 13:45J. Lisztwan1.521111123B. Mrowetz2.2758100

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