TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097504
Played Sep 8Finished
Jan Lisztwan
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611119511––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:09 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Lisztwan above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 61.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Lisztwan 1–0 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lisztwan 1640 vs Krupnik 1580
Lisztwan
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lisztwan 20% vs Krupnik 60%
Krupnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lisztwan 40% vs Krupnik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lisztwan +1 · Krupnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lisztwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLisztwan 1.83 / Krupnik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krupnik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13097504
Lisztwan1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Krupnik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLisztwan1wins
AwayKrupnik0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLisztwan leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLisztwanKrupnikL − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match53.052.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLisztwanKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 72 vs 437 / 85359.7%51.2%43 / 72 vs 437 / 853Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikLisztwan 1.83/Krupnik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 7 · 15:45J. Lisztwan—119175113J. Krupnik—711151182
J. Lisztwan10
WJul 23 · 16:55B. Moravec1.73811841J. Lisztwan2.0011611113LJul 23 · 15:45B. Moravec2.001111113J. Lisztwan1.737740LJul 23 · 15:15M. Mikolasik2.201111113J. Lisztwan1.618960LJul 23 · 14:15J. Lisztwan1.5010131181K. Kleprlik2.5012157113LJul 7 · 17:15J. Lisztwan1.47911861B. Mrowetz2.3911511113WJul 7 · 15:45J. Lisztwan1.41119175113J. Krupnik2.70711151182WJul 7 · 14:45J. Lisztwan1.75111113123M. Macurak1.988915101WJul 7 · 13:45J. Lisztwan1.521111123B. Mrowetz2.2758100LJun 24 · 20:45D. Sarganek1.671111113J. Lisztwan2.109540LJun 24 · 20:10R. Kowal1.83111011113J. Lisztwan1.83812571
J. Krupnik10
LSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113LSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102WSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113LJul 7 · 15:45J. Lisztwan1.41119175113J. Krupnik2.70711151182
Upcoming Matches
J. Lisztwan
J. Krupnik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.