TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12287592
Played Jul 23Finished
Michal Mikolasik
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119116––––
Jan Lisztwan
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:09 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJan Lisztwan to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Mikolasik above · Jan Lisztwan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jan Lisztwan at 57.7%
56 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lisztwan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mikolasik 1577 vs Lisztwan 1677
Lisztwan
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikolasik 20% vs Lisztwan 60%
Lisztwan
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikolasik 30% vs Lisztwan 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikolasik +1 · Lisztwan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lisztwan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikolasik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikolasik 2.20 / Lisztwan 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Lisztwan)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12287592
Mikolasik2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Lisztwan1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikolasikLisztwanBasisWin rate · lifetime15 / 25 vs 42 / 6960%60.9%15 / 25 vs 42 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LisztwanMikolasik 2.20/Lisztwan 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Lisztwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mikolasik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Mikolasik10
LJul 30 · 16:59J. Pribyl1.671211113M. Mikolasik2.1010640WJul 30 · 15:45M. Mikolasik1.7381113113D. Jr2.001151181LJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8312128272M. Moravek1.8310101111113LJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8512128272M. Moravec1.8510101111113LJul 30 · 13:45M. Mikolasik1.83611120J. Pribyl1.831113143LJul 23 · 17:25M. Mikolasik1.705660K. Kleprlik1.961111113WJul 23 · 16:15K. Kleprlik2.0091151552M. Mikolasik1.731191113113WJul 23 · 13:45B. Moravec1.8058111332M. Mikolasik1.911111811113LMay 22 · 16:40R. Benes1.50101112113M. Mikolasik2.501261051LMay 22 · 15:40B. Moravec2.00811711113M. Mikolasik1.7311811972
J. Lisztwan10
WSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113LSep 8 · 19:15A. Cizek2.381141111113J. Lisztwan1.5371151372LSep 8 · 18:15J. Lisztwan1.831061151J. Krupnik1.8312119113WJul 23 · 16:55B. Moravec1.73811841J. Lisztwan2.0011611113LJul 23 · 15:45B. Moravec2.001111113J. Lisztwan1.737740LJul 23 · 14:15J. Lisztwan1.5010131181K. Kleprlik2.5012157113LJul 7 · 17:15J. Lisztwan1.47911861B. Mrowetz2.3911511113WJul 7 · 15:45J. Lisztwan1.41119175113J. Krupnik2.70711151182WJul 7 · 14:45J. Lisztwan1.75111113123M. Macurak1.988915101WJul 7 · 13:45J. Lisztwan1.521111123B. Mrowetz2.2758100
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