TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12331236
Played Jul 30Finished
Michal Mikolasik
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101210811211711
Michal Moravec
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Moravec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
12101210811211711
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mikolasik 1578 vs Moravec 1590
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikolasik 60% vs Moravec 40%
Mikolasik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikolasik 40% vs Moravec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikolasik -2 · Moravec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikolasik 1.85 / Moravec 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Moravec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12331236
Mikolasik1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Moravec1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikolasikMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 30 vs 163 / 32256.7%50.6%17 / 30 vs 163 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
MoravecMikolasik 1.85/Moravec 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Moravec won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Mikolasik10
LJul 30 · 16:59J. Pribyl1.671211113M. Mikolasik2.1010640WJul 30 · 15:45M. Mikolasik1.7381113113D. Jr2.001151181LJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8312128272M. Moravek1.8310101111113LJul 30 · 13:45M. Mikolasik1.83611120J. Pribyl1.831113143LJul 23 · 17:25M. Mikolasik1.705660K. Kleprlik1.961111113WJul 23 · 16:15K. Kleprlik2.0091151552M. Mikolasik1.731191113113WJul 23 · 15:15M. Mikolasik2.201111113J. Lisztwan1.618960WJul 23 · 13:45B. Moravec1.8058111332M. Mikolasik1.911111811113LMay 22 · 16:40R. Benes1.50101112113M. Mikolasik2.501261051LMay 22 · 15:40B. Moravec2.00811711113M. Mikolasik1.7311811972
M. Moravec10
WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec1.5014311153A. Cizek2.5012112131LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec2.007880T. Kindl1.731111113WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113LSep 1 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.801114113M. Moravec1.9131280LSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100LSep 1 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.69811128113M. Moravec1.96116101162LSep 1 · 07:15I. Heuman1.64611911113M. Moravec2.0411711562LSep 1 · 06:15M. Moravec1.981081191B. Mrowetz1.7312118113LAug 31 · 12:35M. Moravec1.915590T. Krenek1.801111113LAug 31 · 12:10M. Moravec1.836980R. Benes1.831111113
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