TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12329587
Played Jul 30Finished
Michal Mikolasik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
61111131214––––
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Mikolasik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Mikolasik above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 67 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Michal Mikolasik at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pribyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mikolasik 1612 vs Pribyl 1625
Pribyl
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikolasik 60% vs Pribyl 40%
Mikolasik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikolasik 50% vs Pribyl 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikolasik -1 · Pribyl -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pribyl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pribyl form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikolasik 1.83 / Pribyl 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pribyl)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12329587
Mikolasik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Pribyl1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikolasikPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 28 vs 95 / 17160.7%55.6%17 / 28 vs 95 / 171Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylMikolasik 1.83/Pribyl 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pribyl won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Mikolasik10
LJul 30 · 16:59J. Pribyl1.671211113M. Mikolasik2.1010640WJul 30 · 15:45M. Mikolasik1.7381113113D. Jr2.001151181LJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8312128272M. Moravek1.8310101111113LJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8512128272M. Moravec1.8510101111113LJul 23 · 17:25M. Mikolasik1.705660K. Kleprlik1.961111113WJul 23 · 16:15K. Kleprlik2.0091151552M. Mikolasik1.731191113113WJul 23 · 15:15M. Mikolasik2.201111113J. Lisztwan1.618960WJul 23 · 13:45B. Moravec1.8058111332M. Mikolasik1.911111811113LMay 22 · 16:40R. Benes1.50101112113M. Mikolasik2.501261051LMay 22 · 15:40B. Moravec2.00811711113M. Mikolasik1.7311811972
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WJul 30 · 16:59J. Pribyl1.671211113M. Mikolasik2.1010640
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