TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12457498
Played Aug 19Finished
Jan Pribyl
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411117611911––
Tomas Krenek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Pribyl above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pribyl 2–5 Tomas Krenek Jan Pribyl has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:42What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pribyl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Krenek
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pribyl 1659 vs Krenek 1681
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pribyl 60% vs Krenek 80%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pribyl 60% vs Krenek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pribyl +1 · Krenek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pribyl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPribyl 1.73 / Krenek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pribyl)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12457498
Pribyl1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 50 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Krenek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 131 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back41% 56 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePribyl2wins
AwayKrenek5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKrenek leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePribyl40%2 of 5
AwayKrenekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pribyl5Krenek2n = 7Pribyl took 5 of 7
S2Pribyl0Krenek7n = 7Krenek took 7 of 7
S3Pribyl4Krenek3n = 7Pribyl took 4 of 7
S4Pribyl3Krenek4n = 7Krenek took 4 of 7
S5Pribyl1Krenek2n = 3Krenek took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricPribylKrenekP − KBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.143.3−3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPribylKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 189 vs 414 / 82955%49.9%104 / 189 vs 414 / 829Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylPribyl 1.73/Krenek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 6 · 07:40J. Pribyl—156814113T. Krenek—1311111272
LJul 20 · 09:40J. Pribyl—118781T. Krenek—91111113
LJul 19 · 14:10J. Pribyl—96111462T. Krenek—1111612113
LJul 13 · 09:45J. Pribyl—551161T. Krenek—11115113
WJul 9 · 09:40J. Pribyl—11811113T. Krenek—611791
LJun 9 · 14:10J. Pribyl—111311882T. Krenek—315911113
LApr 28 · 14:10J. Pribyl—113681T. Krenek—31111113
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WAug 6 · 11:45D. Pawlik2.50711100J. Pribyl1.501113123WAug 6 · 11:15T. Kindl2.2091121262J. Pribyl1.611191110113
T. Krenek10
LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981
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