TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12460397
Played Aug 19Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117119118––
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8
75 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 6–2 Jan Pribyl Jan Pribyl has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.80 / Pribyl 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Krenek)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12460397
Krenek1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 110 of 217
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 74 of 100
Pribyl1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 17 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKrenek6wins
AwayPribyl2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKrenek leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek100%3 of 3
AwayPribyl40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek3Pribyl5n = 8Pribyl took 5 of 8
S2Krenek7Pribyl1n = 8Krenek took 7 of 8
S3Krenek4Pribyl4n = 8split evenly
S4Krenek5Pribyl3n = 8Krenek took 5 of 8
S5Krenek2Pribyl1n = 3Krenek took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKrenekPribylK − PBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match42.938.9+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 831 vs 105 / 19150.1%55%416 / 831 vs 105 / 191Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.80/Pribyl 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 19 · 11:15T. Krenek—11711113J. Pribyl—411691
LAug 6 · 07:40T. Krenek—1311111272J. Pribyl—156814113
WJul 20 · 09:40T. Krenek—91111113J. Pribyl—118781
WJul 19 · 14:10T. Krenek—1111612113J. Pribyl—96111462
WJul 13 · 09:45T. Krenek—11115113J. Pribyl—551161
LJul 9 · 09:40T. Krenek—611791J. Pribyl—11811113
WJun 9 · 14:10T. Krenek—315911113J. Pribyl—111311882
WApr 28 · 14:10T. Krenek—31111113J. Pribyl—113681
T. Krenek10
LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WAug 6 · 11:45D. Pawlik2.50711100J. Pribyl1.501113123WAug 6 · 11:15T. Kindl2.2091121262J. Pribyl1.611191110113
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