TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12368002
Played Aug 6Finished
Dominik Pawlik
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71111131012––––
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Pawlik above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 64 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Pawlik 1–4 Jan Pribyl Dominik Pawlik has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pribyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Pribyl
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1632 vs Pribyl 1634
Pribyl
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 40% vs Pribyl 60%
Pribyl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 50% vs Pribyl 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik -3 · Pribyl +1
Pawlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pribyl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 2.50 / Pribyl 1.50
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Pribyl)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #12368002
Pawlik2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 57 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back26% 16 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Pribyl1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 51 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePawlik1wins
AwayPribyl4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPribyl leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlikn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPribyl80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik0Pribyl5n = 5Pribyl took 5 of 5
S2Pawlik1Pribyl4n = 5Pribyl took 4 of 5
S3Pawlik0Pribyl5n = 5Pribyl took 5 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away480%
These 5 meetings
MetricPawlikPribylPawlik − PribylBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match26.634.8−8.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 373 vs 102 / 18650.9%54.8%190 / 373 vs 102 / 186Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylPawlik 2.50/Pribyl 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pribyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 29 · 06:15D. Pawlik—7770J. Pribyl—1111113
LApr 18 · 09:40D. Pawlik—9670J. Pribyl—1111113
LFeb 20 · 14:35D. Pawlik—7470J. Pribyl—1111113
LFeb 20 · 10:45D. Pawlik—91240J. Pribyl—1114113
WJan 10 · 07:40D. Pawlik—911511113J. Pribyl—11611652
D. Pawlik10
WSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292WSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110LSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112LSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182WSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113LSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WAug 6 · 11:15T. Kindl2.2091121262J. Pribyl1.611191110113
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