TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12472936
Played Aug 22Finished
Jan Pribyl
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116118––––
Daniel Vitasek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pribyl above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-7
Point 53 set 3, 10-7 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 58.8%
53 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Pribyl 6–5 Daniel Vitasek Daniel Vitasek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pribyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pribyl 1670 vs Vitasek 1597
Pribyl
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pribyl 60% vs Vitasek 40%
Pribyl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pribyl 50% vs Vitasek 30%
Pribyl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pribyl +1 · Vitasek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pribyl)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPribyl 1.67 / Vitasek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pribyl)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12472936
Pribyl1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 48 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Vitasek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 102 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back28% 32 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePribyl6wins
AwayVitasek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPribyl leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePribyl83.3%5 of 6
AwayVitasek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pribyl6Vitasek4n = 10Pribyl took 6 of 10
S2Pribyl7Vitasek3n = 10Pribyl took 7 of 10
S3Pribyl6Vitasek4n = 10Pribyl took 6 of 10
S4Pribyl2Vitasek5n = 7Vitasek took 5 of 7
S5Pribyl3Vitasek2n = 5Pribyl took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPribylVitasekP − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.037.7+2.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPribylVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 193 vs 281 / 57654.9%48.8%106 / 193 vs 281 / 576Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylPribyl 1.67/Vitasek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pribyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 09:45J. Pribyl—119512113D. Vitasek—911111072
WJun 27 · 07:15J. Pribyl—1311113D. Vitasek—11540
LJun 7 · 16:50J. Pribyl—8713111D. Vitasek—111111133
WJun 7 · 13:45J. Pribyl—1110113133D. Vitasek—912711112
WApr 26 · 14:15J. Pribyl—611115113D. Vitasek—11771152
LMar 17 · 15:15J. Pribyl—61161172D. Vitasek—119116113
LFeb 22 · 06:45J. Pribyl—6119101D. Vitasek—11811123
WFeb 14 · 06:40J. Pribyl—1111113D. Vitasek—7770
LFeb 12 · 14:45J. Pribyl—11116782D. Vitasek—861111113
WJan 17 · 14:40J. Pribyl—1111113D. Vitasek—8420
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WAug 6 · 11:45D. Pawlik2.50711100J. Pribyl1.501113123WAug 6 · 11:15T. Kindl2.2091121262J. Pribyl1.611191110113
D. Vitasek10
WAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113WAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133WAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida2.00991151D. Vitasek1.7311113113LAug 30 · 06:15D. Vitasek1.80791251K. Kleprlik1.91111110113LAug 28 · 20:35J. Gembala1.301111113D. Vitasek3.408260LAug 28 · 20:10D. Vitasek1.804480T. Kindl1.911111113WAug 28 · 18:40J. Gembala1.4411101191D. Vitasek2.6391213113LAug 28 · 18:10F. Chaloupka1.44151110113D. Vitasek2.631361281LAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132
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