TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12368013
Played Aug 6Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111192111210611
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 0–1 Jan Pribyl Tomas Kindl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:17What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pribyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1495 vs Pribyl 1627
Pribyl
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 40% vs Pribyl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 50% vs Pribyl 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl +2 · Pribyl -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pribyl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pribyl form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 2.20 / Pribyl 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pribyl)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12368013
Kindl2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 52 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Pribyl1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 51 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKindl0wins
AwayPribyl1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPribyl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKindlPribylK − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.052.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 344 vs 102 / 18651.2%54.8%176 / 344 vs 102 / 186Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylKindl 2.20/Pribyl 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pribyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 6 · 11:15T. Kindl—91121262J. Pribyl—1191110113
T. Kindl10
LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WAug 6 · 11:45D. Pawlik2.50711100J. Pribyl1.501113123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.