TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12472960
Played Aug 22Finished
Kamil Kleprlik
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171614116––––
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:14 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 65 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 59.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 8–10 Jan Pribyl Kamil Kleprlik has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:14What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pribyl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Pribyl
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1579 vs Pribyl 1681
Pribyl
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 40% vs Pribyl 60%
Pribyl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 50% vs Pribyl 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik -3 · Pribyl +2
Kleprlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pribyl) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 2.63 / Pribyl 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Pribyl)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12472960
Kleprlik2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 69 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back31% 27 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Pribyl1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 48 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKleprlik5wins
AwayPribyl5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik66.7%2 of 3
AwayPribyl57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik3Pribyl7n = 10Pribyl took 7 of 10
S2Kleprlik5Pribyl5n = 10split evenly
S3Kleprlik5Pribyl5n = 10split evenly
S4Kleprlik4Pribyl4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKleprlikPribylK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.9+1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 467 vs 107 / 19449.5%55.2%231 / 467 vs 107 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylKleprlik 2.63/Pribyl 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.5%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 19 · 16:40K. Kleprlik—8119121J. Pribyl—11711143
WJul 19 · 15:10K. Kleprlik—111111173J. Pribyl—1397151
WJun 24 · 15:40K. Kleprlik—1111610113J. Pribyl—86111272
WJun 8 · 16:45K. Kleprlik—101311113J. Pribyl—1211791
LJun 8 · 14:40K. Kleprlik—129881J. Pribyl—101111113
LMay 5 · 16:10K. Kleprlik—79110J. Pribyl—1111133
LMar 21 · 09:10K. Kleprlik—68100J. Pribyl—1111123
LMar 12 · 14:40K. Kleprlik—891181J. Pribyl—11116113
WFeb 22 · 09:40K. Kleprlik—11711133J. Pribyl—7115111
WFeb 22 · 07:45K. Kleprlik—91111113J. Pribyl—112651
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113WSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WAug 6 · 11:45D. Pawlik2.50711100J. Pribyl1.501113123WAug 6 · 11:15T. Kindl2.2091121262J. Pribyl1.611191110113
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