TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12370949
Played Aug 6Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1173111179111513
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 98 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 5–6 Jan Pribyl Jan Krupnik has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1618 vs Pribyl 1659
Pribyl
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 80% vs Pribyl 60%
Krupnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 70% vs Pribyl 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik +4 · Pribyl +2
Krupnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.80 / Pribyl 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12370949
Krupnik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 137 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it99% 67 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it74% 103 of 140
Pribyl1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik5wins
AwayPribyl5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik100%4 of 4
AwayPribyl83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik4Pribyl6n = 10Pribyl took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik3Pribyl7n = 10Pribyl took 7 of 10
S3Krupnik7Pribyl3n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S4Krupnik4Pribyl5n = 9Pribyl took 5 of 9
S5Krupnik3Pribyl1n = 4Krupnik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikPribylK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.140.3−2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 735 vs 103 / 18751.2%55.1%376 / 735 vs 103 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.80/Pribyl 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 10:15J. Krupnik—1111119113J. Pribyl—91371142
LAug 6 · 07:10J. Krupnik—551161J. Pribyl—11116113
LMay 10 · 15:45J. Krupnik—512371J. Pribyl—111011113
WMar 17 · 16:15J. Krupnik—11611113J. Pribyl—511581
WFeb 21 · 13:10J. Krupnik—1211113J. Pribyl—10570
LFeb 17 · 10:20J. Krupnik—612671J. Pribyl—111011113
WFeb 17 · 09:10J. Krupnik—129811113J. Pribyl—101111772
LJan 28 · 18:15J. Krupnik—510111312J. Pribyl—1112911103
WJan 28 · 14:40J. Krupnik—1251111113J. Pribyl—14118372
LJan 22 · 16:10J. Krupnik—481161J. Pribyl—11118113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina1.7357110J. Krupnik2.001111133WSep 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.531111113A. Cizek2.385970LSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 18:15J. Lisztwan1.831061151J. Krupnik1.8312119113WSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113LSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102WSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113WAug 6 · 11:45D. Pawlik2.50711100J. Pribyl1.501113123WAug 6 · 11:15T. Kindl2.2091121262J. Pribyl1.611191110113
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