TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13100832
Played Sep 8Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111113––––
Jan Krupnik
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 58 set 3, 11-13 — our read held David Skulina at 57.4%
58 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 5–3 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Skulina
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1637 vs Krupnik 1574
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 60% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 50% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -1 · Krupnik +3
Krupnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.73 / Krupnik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skulina)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13100832
Skulina1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 27 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Krupnik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 106 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkulina5wins
AwayKrupnik3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSkulina leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulina80%4 of 5
AwayKrupnik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina5Krupnik3n = 8Skulina took 5 of 8
S2Skulina7Krupnik1n = 8Skulina took 7 of 8
S3Skulina7Krupnik1n = 8Skulina took 7 of 8
S4Skulina0Krupnik4n = 4Krupnik took 4 of 4
S5Skulina1Krupnik2n = 3Krupnik took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkulinaKrupnikS − KBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match39.034.2+4.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 152 vs 439 / 85651.3%51.3%78 / 152 vs 439 / 856Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.73/Krupnik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina—1211143J. Krupnik—104120
WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina—1111113J. Krupnik—7950
WAug 21 · 16:10D. Skulina—511118113J. Krupnik—11981182
LJul 23 · 12:15D. Skulina—121111972J. Krupnik—145611113
WMar 11 · 12:40D. Skulina—1111113J. Krupnik—8880
WMar 2 · 10:40D. Skulina—1111123J. Krupnik—92100
LDec 16 · 16:45D. Skulina—11118682J. Krupnik—741111113
LDec 15 · 20:10D. Skulina—971361J. Krupnik—111111113
D. Skulina10
LSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113WSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192WSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113WSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.531111113A. Cizek2.385970LSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 18:15J. Lisztwan1.831061151J. Krupnik1.8312119113WSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113LSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina1.801111113J. Krupnik1.917950LSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102WSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123
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