TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13032389
Played Aug 27Finished
Daniel Vitasek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214511611––––
Tomas Grmela
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Vitasek to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Vitasek above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 59 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Vitasek at 57.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Vitasek 1–1 Tomas Grmela Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Grmela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1591 vs Grmela 1588
Vitasek
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 80% vs Grmela 40%
Vitasek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 50% vs Grmela 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek +2 · Grmela -3
Grmela
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grmela) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grmela form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 2.00 / Grmela 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Grmela)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13032389
Vitasek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 107 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back25% 31 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Grmela1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVitasek1wins
AwayGrmela1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVitasekGrmelaV − GBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.041.5−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 594 vs 17 / 3948.7%43.6%289 / 594 vs 17 / 39Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrmelaVitasek 2.00/Grmela 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Grmela · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grmela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek—111245113T. Grmela—810111192
LJul 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek—10560T. Grmela—1211113
D. Vitasek10
WAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113WAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133WAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida2.00991151D. Vitasek1.7311113113LAug 30 · 06:15D. Vitasek1.80791251K. Kleprlik1.91111110113LAug 28 · 20:35J. Gembala1.301111113D. Vitasek3.408260LAug 28 · 20:10D. Vitasek1.804480T. Kindl1.911111113WAug 28 · 18:40J. Gembala1.4411101191D. Vitasek2.6391213113LAug 28 · 18:10F. Chaloupka1.44151110113D. Vitasek2.631361281WAug 27 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.83511541D. Vitasek1.8311611113WAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192
T. Grmela10
LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192LAug 27 · 18:15T. Grmela1.911259101J. Krupnik1.80101111123WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152WAug 27 · 16:15T. Grmela2.2071114123K. Kleprlik1.6111912101WAug 27 · 14:45J. Skvrna1.5012811542T. Grmela2.501011911113LAug 27 · 14:15T. Krenek1.57111110113T. Grmela2.25971261WAug 21 · 17:10T. Krenek1.43812100T. Grmela2.501114123WAug 21 · 15:45A. Cizek1.83712591T. Grmela1.83111011113WAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.