TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12469474
Played Aug 21Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611311115118611
Tomas Grmela
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Grmela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 83 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Grmela at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:54What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Grmela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Konvicka 1543 vs Grmela 1538
Konvicka
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konvicka 40% vs Grmela 20%
Konvicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konvicka 40% vs Grmela 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konvicka -1 · Grmela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grmela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grmela form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.83 / Grmela 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Grmela)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12469474
Konvicka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Grmela1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 246 vs 11 / 2952.9%37.9%130 / 246 vs 11 / 29Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.533.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrmelaKonvicka 1.83/Grmela 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Grmela · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grmela won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Konvicka10
LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990LAug 14 · 15:40L. Dzida1.831111113V. Konvicka1.835570LAug 14 · 15:10V. Reska2.2011119113V. Konvicka1.61691191
T. Grmela10
WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192LAug 27 · 18:15T. Grmela1.911259101J. Krupnik1.80101111123WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152WAug 27 · 16:15T. Grmela2.2071114123K. Kleprlik1.6111912101WAug 27 · 14:45J. Skvrna1.5012811542T. Grmela2.501011911113LAug 27 · 14:15T. Krenek1.57111110113T. Grmela2.25971261WAug 21 · 17:10T. Krenek1.43812100T. Grmela2.501114123WAug 21 · 15:45A. Cizek1.83712591T. Grmela1.83111011113
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