TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12468920
Played Aug 21Finished
Ales Cizek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101151210––––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Konvicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Vojtech Konvicka at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 1–1 Vojtech Konvicka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:43What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1512 vs Konvicka 1558
Konvicka
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 40% vs Konvicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 40% vs Konvicka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -1 · Konvicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cizek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.67 / Konvicka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Cizek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12468920
Cizek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 52 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Konvicka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 41 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCizek1wins
AwayKonvicka1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCizekKonvickaC − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.530.0+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 422 vs 130 / 24548.8%53.1%206 / 422 vs 130 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekCizek 1.67/Konvicka 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 8 · 05:45A. Cizek—881191V. Konvicka—11117113
WMay 21 · 19:40A. Cizek—1111113V. Konvicka—7940
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480LSep 2 · 19:45D. Skulina2.101111123A. Cizek1.6749100
V. Konvicka10
LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990LAug 14 · 15:40L. Dzida1.831111113V. Konvicka1.835570LAug 14 · 15:10V. Reska2.2011119113V. Konvicka1.61691191
Upcoming Matches
A. Cizek
V. Konvicka
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